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So far Mattia Di Ubaldo has created 19 blog entries.

BP 74 – The UK’s new (and improved?) Developing Countries Trading Scheme

Download Briefing Paper 74 Briefing Paper 74 – April 2023 Mattia Di Ubaldo, Guillermo Larbalestier and Manuel Tong Koecklin Key Points Introduction No more conditions, deeper preferences and less uncertainty Who will really benefit from the changes in the Enhanced DCTS access criteria? More favourable rules of origin for LDCs Conclusion Key Points Non-reciprocal trade preferences are a policy tool that can promote export-led growth in developing countries. In the UK, the current scheme – the Generalised Scheme of Preferences (GSP) – will be replaced by the Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS) in 2023. The new DCTS introduces minimal changes to the preferential tariff schedules across the three sub-schemes. Instead, there are changes in the eligibility criteria for countries to access the more preferential Enhanced Preferences sub-scheme; and changes in the rules of origin (RoOs) enabling use of the preferences under the Comprehensive Preferences sub-scheme offered to Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Potential duty savings for countries moving from the GSP General Framework to the DCTS Enhanced Preferences are very small, as these countries do not trade much in products benefiting from GSP or DCTS preferences. However, the new system offers greater certainty which can contribute to growth and [...]

By , , |2025-12-12T10:41:30+00:0013 April 2023|Comments Off on BP 74 – The UK’s new (and improved?) Developing Countries Trading Scheme

Briefing Paper 74 – THE UK’S NEW (AND IMPROVED?) DEVELOPING COUNTRIES TRADING SCHEME

This year, the UK Government will replace its current preferential trading scheme for low and lower-middle income countries with the Developing Countries Trading Scheme (DCTS). This Briefing Paper looks at and evaluates two key changes in the DCTS: changes in the eligibility criteria for the Enhanced Preferences sub-scheme, and changes in the rules of origin to use preferences under the Comprehensive Preferences sub-scheme offered to Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Using a novel RoOs Restrictiveness Index, the authors find that the RoOs under the DCTS are, on average, less restrictive than those under the former scheme. They also conclude that most benefits are likely to be accrued by LDCs both in the short and long term due to more lenient rules of origin, extended cumulation rules, and being eligible for the Enhanced DCTS if they graduate from LDC status. Read Briefing Paper 74: THE UK’S NEW (AND IMPROVED?) DEVELOPING COUNTRIES TRADING SCHEME

The Effect of SDG-related Provisions in PTAs on SDGs

14 December 2022 Ruby Acquah and Mattia Di Ubaldo are Fellows of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Research Fellows in Economics at the University of Sussex Business School. This blog was originally published by Trade 4 Sustainable Development. The Role of Non-trade Provisions in PTA’s in Attaining the SDGs. Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) are being increasingly used as a tool to pursue various non-trade policy objectives such as the protection of human rights and labour rights, the promotion of environmental sustainability, and combating climate change. […]

By , |2025-07-17T16:26:02+01:0014 December 2022|Blog|0 Comments

Northern Ireland Protocol Bill: is it all just a ploy?

14 June 2022 Mattia Di Ubaldo is a Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and a Research Fellow in Economics at the University of Sussex Business School. Michael Gasiorek is Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex Business School. The UK Government has published its bill on the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP), making a clear move to try to force changes in the arrangements disciplining the economic regime applying to the portion of the UK that has remained in the EU Single Market post-Brexit. The points of strongest contention between the UK Government and the EU concern the custom and regulatory checks applying to trade flowing from Great Britain to Northern Ireland together with a list of additional issues resulting from Northern Ireland remaining part of the EU Single Market territory: the regulatory regime applying to firms in Northern Ireland, rules on VAT, the use of state subsidies, and the role of the European Court of Justice in overseeing the NIP. […]

Northern Ireland trade patterns and the row over the Protocol

31 May 2022 Ruby Acquah and Mattia Di Ubaldo are Fellows of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Research Fellows in Economics at the University of Sussex Business School Tensions over the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP) have intensified as the UK Government (henceforth HMG) announced plans to introduce legislation that would enable it to disapply parts of the Protocol.  The UK has often demanded the re-negotiation of the NIP due to its economic costs, and a too strict application by the EU. Recently, Assembly elections in Northern Ireland escalated the urgency of resolving the issue, as the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is currently refusing, as part of its protest against the NIP, to participate in the power-sharing executive. […]

By , |2025-07-18T09:37:28+01:0031 May 2022|Blog, UK- EU|0 Comments

What is the way ahead for a UK-India Free Trade Agreement?

25 May 2022 Amrita Saha is a Research Fellow at the Institute for Development Studies affiliated with the University of Sussex and Mattia Di Ubaldo is a Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Research Fellow in Economics at the University of Sussex Business School.[1] The third round of negotiations for the proposed UK-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA) were concluded in New Delhi on May 6, with news that a deal could be reached by the end of the year. Yet, there are diverse interests on both sides, so any deal would be hard negotiated. We reflect on the current UK-India trade relationship, the state of play of negotiations, and what businesses on both sides hope the FTA will deliver. […]

By |2025-07-18T09:38:38+01:0025 May 2022|Blog, UK - Non EU|0 Comments

COVID-19 will reinforce the Brexit shock

27 May 2020 L. Alan Winters CB is Professor of Economics and Director of the UKTPO. Mattia Di Ubaldo is a Research Fellow in the Economics of European Trade Policies, and Palitha Konara is a Senior Lecturer in International Business at the University of Sussex. Both are Fellows of the UKTPO.  COVID-19 and Brexit may appear as independent shocks but, in fact, they are interrelated. First, as the UKTPO and many others have argued, because COVID has disrupted the preparation for and conduct of negotiations on the future UK-EU trading arrangements, the UK government should ask for an extension to the transition period. This would allow the UK and EU to work out details of mutual cooperation that will be beneficial on both sides of the channel. […]

By , |2025-07-18T10:42:50+01:0027 May 2020|UK - Non EU, UK- EU|0 Comments

BP 32 – A Post-Brexit Generalized System of Preferences for the UK: How to Guarantee Unchanged Market Access For Developing Countries?

A Post-Brexit Generalized System of Preferences for the UK: How to Guarantee Unchanged Market Access For Developing Countries? Download Briefing Paper 32 Briefing Paper 32 – June 2019 Author: Mattia Di Ubaldo Key Points Introduction The GSP of the EU as a Starting Model for the UK Quantification of Mechanical Graduations and Vulnerability Criteria Possible Adjustments to the UK’s GSP Thresholds matter – Political Economy versus Development Goals. Conclusion Footnotes References  Online Appendix Key points  The unilateral nature of a Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) would allow the UK to apply a preferential regime swiftly, but simply rolling over the scheme of the EU might affect developing countries’ access to the UK market. Maintaining the lists of beneficiaries, eligible products and tariff margins is the first step towards ensuring that developing countries’ market access to the UK is unaffected by Brexit. The maintenance of the current rules for preference removal (i.e. graduation) can be problematic. The uneven distribution of trade between the UK and the EU implies that the current import-share thresholds, which determine graduations, can provoke the loss of preferences, either in the UK or the EU, without any change in [...]

By |2025-12-12T10:36:56+00:0018 June 2019|Comments Off on BP 32 – A Post-Brexit Generalized System of Preferences for the UK: How to Guarantee Unchanged Market Access For Developing Countries?

Briefing Paper 32 – A POST-BREXIT GENERALIZED SYSTEM OF PREFERENCES FOR THE UK: HOW TO GUARANTEE UNCHANGED MARKET ACCESS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES?

Post-Brexit, the UK will offer preferential market access to developing countries under a Generalized System of Preferences (GSP). To allow developing countries to export to the UK after it leaves the EU on the same terms as the present, the UK Government’s plan is to replicate the GSP of the EU. This paper shows that simply rolling over the EU’s GSP, in particular, the rules for preferences removal (graduation), will determine changes in market access due to the uneven distribution of developing countries’ trade between the UK and the EU27 bloc. The country most affected would be India, which would lose trade preferences in the UK on a volume of trade worth approximately € 1.27 billion per year. Adjustments to the GSPs of both the UK and the EU, necessary to avoid the loss of trade preferences, are also discussed. Read Briefing Paper 32 – A POST-BREXIT GENERALIZED SYSTEM OF PREFERENCES FOR THE UK: HOW TO GUARANTEE UNCHANGED MARKET ACCESS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES?

By |2024-11-20T13:19:18+00:001 June 2019|Briefing Papers|0 Comments
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